My research combines
philosophical with historical methods and centers on the following
topics (see PhD dissertation abstract below):
Prediction. There is a long-standing tradition in the
philosophy of science that
views a theory making novel predictions superior to theories that
simply explain.
Historical studies however have failed to unearth any positive evidence
in
support of this view. In response to this, temporal novelty has been
rejected
by some in favour of so-called use-novel predictions: evidence should
be
regarded as novel if the theory has not been purposefully designed to
account
for it. Yet there are several conceptual problems with the use-novel
account
and I don’t think the historical record really supports the idea of
use-novelty
anyway. Rather, I’m sympathetic to the view that explanations count as
least as
much, if not even more than predictions in the appraisal of theories.
If true,
this would of course raise a number of issues for the current
philosophy of
science. For instance, replies to the pessimistic meta induction assume
that
only those theories which make novel predictions should be considered
in the
argument. But if there are no grounds for this preference, then the PMI
is a
much stronger argument than it is already.
Explanation.
Intuitively, scientific explanations that are not
true cannot be scientific explanations proper. Especially
causal-mechanistic accounts of explanation explicitly make the
contrary assumption. Without diverting into a van-Fraassian pragmatic
account
of explanation, I believe that mechanistic accounts should allow for
non-referring entities and their envisaged interactions to be
explanatory (see
dissertation abstract, below).
Data reliability.
Data reliability is absolutely
fundamental for scientific knowledge. If data are not reliable, they
cannot be
used for eliminating false theories and for confirming true ones. But
how do we
know that the results produced by our experiments are trustworthy?
Philosophers
of science have not a lot to say about this question. The standard
answer,
however, has it that scientists need to perform error checks, repeat
experiments, ‘calibrate’ the results gained with one experimental
technique or
instrument with another, and so on. I believe that the few extant
accounts on
data reliability have severe shortcomings. In my current project (see
below),
I’m seeking to show that the role of theories guiding data reliability
judgments has been underestimated hitherto.
Current project, abstract.
In the
philosophy of science
one generally assumes that the issue of theory-confirmation can clearly
be
separated from the issue of data reliability. This project is going to
try to
undermine this view by means of the notion of ‘theory-driven data
reliability
judgements’, which says that theories with certain properties
significantly influence
decisions made by scientists about whether experimental data are to be
deemed
reliable or not. The project will try to corroborate this thesis by
means of
case studies from the history of science. In particular, it will be
argued that
the postulation and acceptance of undetected error sources lends
crucial
support to the main thesis of this project. The project will
furthermore
inquire whether the following consequences can be drawn from the main
thesis
and the historical case studies: 1. theoretical virtues like elegance,
simplicity, and unifying power of explanations weigh much heavier in
theory-choice than generally believed; 2. not the empirical adequacy
(or truth)
of theories should be regarded as the normative first aim of science,
but
rather their maximal explanatory power; 3. a well-known major
conceptual
problem of scientific realism is aggravated by the considerations of
this
project.
PhD thesis, abstract.
In this
thesis, I investigate
the role unobservables play in scientific explanations, the naturalness
of
explanations, and the fertility (or developmental potential) of
theories.
Realist accounts (in
particular, the causal-mechanistic account) require
unobservables to be real for them to fulfill an explanatory function in
theories. Antirealist accounts do not assign any particular role to
unobservables and marginalize the explanatory power of theories, their
naturalness, and their developmental potential as merely of pragmatic
interest.
The position I put forth here criticizes both of these extremes as
unsatisfactory. In contrast to antirealist accounts, I take the role of
unobservables for the explanatory power of theories, their naturalness,
and
their developmental potential seriously, but in contrast to realist
accounts,
my position refrains from committing to the reality of
unobservables.
In order
to demarcate my account sufficiently from realist accounts of
unobservables in
explanations, I consider—among other things—the views realists hold
about our
capacity to access unobservables epistemically (before they can figure
in our
explanations) and criticize these views not on metaphysical grounds—as
the
antirealist would do—but rather on 'practical' ones. For this purpose,
I discuss
various prominent historical ‘discoveries’ of unobservables and show
that
inference procedures proposed by realists do not adequately describe
these
cases.
Despite my critique of realist accounts
of unobservables, I try to
articulate a position, in which unobservables play a positive part in
explanations without one having to presuppose their reality. I also
point out
that, in some important cases, the postulated unobservables are also
‘visual’
entities: we cannot imagine them without visualizing them. I call these
entities Imaginary-Constitutives. I
show that these entities not only play an important role in scientific
explanations, but also that they figure in important ways in natural
and
‘fertile’ theories.